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2024-12-13 23:55:57

Guangdong: In the next five years, 10 billion yuan will be invested to support the development of the tourism industry. On December 12th, a site meeting was held to promote the implementation of the spirit of the provincial tourism development conference in Guangdong. The meeting proposed to promote the implementation of the "three hundred" plan for cultural tourism investment, that is, to promote 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects, to coordinate provincial financial investment of 10 billion yuan to support the development of tourism industry in the next five years, and to accelerate the implementation of the list of 100 major projects under construction and 100 key investment projects.Huatai Securities: The countercyclical adjustment is stronger than expected, and the expansion of domestic demand may fall on the policy of boosting consumption. Huatai Securities believes that the macro-policy orientation conveyed by the Central Economic Work Conference is more positive, in fiscal policy (expanding deficit, increasing special national debt, expanding the use scope of special debt, etc.), monetary policy (moderately easing, timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates), real estate and capital market (stabilizing the property market and stock market), and expanding domestic demand policy (implementing special actions to boost consumption) In terms of currency securities, Huatai Securities believes that there is still room for interest rate cuts. On the one hand, the current real interest rate level is still high in horizontal comparison; On the other hand, credit expansion, especially the balance sheet expansion of developers and local governments, is relatively weak, and the cost of capital has room for further decline. It is expected that the central bank will cut interest rates by 30-50 basis points next year, but the pace may be affected by external changes and exchange rates.Luo Zhiheng, Yuekai Securities: It is expected that the monetary policy will be further strengthened in 2025, or the RRR will be lowered or the interest rate will be reduced by 0.5 percentage points respectively. The Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. Luo Zhiheng, chief economist and dean of the research institute of Yuekai Securities, believes that overall, the tone of the meeting is more positive, and positive signals are released in terms of work objectives, policy tone and task deployment next year, which is conducive to strengthening and consolidating the momentum of sustained economic recovery next year. It is still a high probability that China's economy will achieve a growth rate of around 5% next year, as long as we implement greater fiscal and monetary policies, ensure that the policies work in the same direction, and promote a series of institutional reforms that restrict development. Luo Zhiheng predicts that in 2025, the monetary policy will be further strengthened, and the RRR and interest rate will be lowered by 0.5 percentage points respectively throughout the year; Rhythm or more advanced. In addition, the monetary policy toolbox will be further enriched and improved. On the one hand, it will adjust and optimize the policy tools such as refinancing of affordable housing, "convenient exchange of securities, funds and insurance companies" and stock repurchase and refinancing, which will be implemented and achieved practical results; On the other hand, we may appropriately narrow the width of the interest rate corridor and guide the money market interest rate to run smoothly around the policy interest rate center.


CICC: Depleting inventories to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. The Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. In terms of real estate, the meeting will "continue to push the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize" as the primary task of risk prevention. The research department of CICC believes that destocking to eliminate excess supply is still the main direction. First, control the supply of new land; second, optimize the supply structure of existing land and commercial housing; it is expected that the supply optimization policies such as land ticket, land exchange and commercial housing reform will be further promoted; third, dispose of existing commercial housing; it is expected that the efforts to store unsold commercial housing and existing second-hand housing for affordable housing will be increased; fourth, intensify the implementation of the renovation of urban villages and dilapidated houses.On December 11th, the reporter was informed that Vanke Property innovatively launched the "flexible pricing" model at the press conference of Wanwuyun Ruijian held in Shenzhen, and released "smart selection" products, returned the service options and pricing rights to the owners, and innovatively launched "flexible pricing" in the industry. Specifically, Vanke Property's "Smart Choice" products take "the whole cycle of project property services" as the main axis, forming a set of all kinds of services, in which 158 required services and 350 optional services are classified and screened out. At present, Vanke Property is pushing the industry to change from standardized pricing to flexible pricing. Kerry Property Management believes that this initiative has led the transformation and upgrading of property services in the stock era, and is expected to become the standard practice of the property management industry in the future, and promote the development of the whole industry in a more standardized and efficient direction. (Dahe Finance Cube)Scientific and technological innovation leads the high-quality development of the economy, and the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation may meet the layout window period. By midday on December 13th, the 100tf (588,190) of Science and Technology Innovation had fallen by 2.08%, with a turnover of 181 million yuan. The constituent stocks are mixed. In terms of rising, Alice led the rise, and Hengxuan Technology followed suit. In terms of decline, Guo Dun Quantum led the decline, while Core Source followed slightly. In the news, from December 11th to 12th, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing, which made a systematic plan for next year's economic work. Regarding the highlights of the conference, CITIC Jiantou said that "scientific and technological innovation" ranked first in the ranking of key tasks last year, and it was divided into independent segments and listed a number of emerging technologies, industries and tracks in a large space. This year's science and technology-related expressions focus on "artificial intelligence+",and we expect "AI+" to be the core variety of future science and technology themes. In addition, scientific and technological innovation is in the big paragraph of "new quality productivity" this year, ranking second in all key tasks. Wanlian Securities said that scientific and technological innovation is the vanguard to lead the high-quality economic development, and it is also the only way for the transformation and upgrading of traditional industries, emerging industries and future industries to grow and develop.


Sinotrans set up a new logistics development company in Chongqing with 100 million yuan. According to the enterprise search APP, Sinotrans Southwest (Chongqing) Logistics Development Co., Ltd. was recently established with Zhou Tao as its legal representative and a registered capital of 100 million yuan. Its business scope includes: international freight forwarding by sea; Land international freight forwarding agent; Packaging service; Customs declaration business, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Sinotrans.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 13, the three major indexes fell by more than 1% in half a day, and the AI application side strengthened against the trend. Rishang group has 12 boards in 13 days, and one picture can be understood > >Youhao Group established a new company of commodity purchasing center. According to the enterprise search APP, Shihezi Youhao Commodity Purchasing Center Co., Ltd. was recently established, with the legal representative of Yang Weihong and the registered capital of 5 million yuan. Its business scope includes: publication retail; Drug retail; Liquor business; Internet sales of food; The third kind of medical device management, etc. Enterprise survey shows that the company is wholly owned by Friendship Group.

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